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Tag: Signal to Noise

Signal To Noise in High Frequency Trading

by theorangedog on Dec.20, 2007, under Skills

I was reading a little bit today about the signal to noise ratio as it applies to sound, which uses a general equation:
SNR(dB) = 10log_{10}(frac{P_{s}}{P_{n}}) = 20log_{10}(frac{A_{s}}{A_{n}}), where
P = average power
A = amplitude measured as a quadratic mean

Signal To Noise is often referred to in finance, specifically when it comes to Black’s paper “Noise.” (in the Papers section)

While glancing through that and JSTOR, I came across Truman’s Theory of Noise in Trading paper (also in the Papers section), which used a comparable line of thought to that found in O’Hara’s book Market Microstructure Theory.

I can refer to the equations when I get near the book, but it has a number of them built upon two period models, much like Truman, that determine how a market maker may adjust the bid/ask spread based upon their interpretation of informed trading. Magnitude would play a role, meaning when a market maker felt trading was informed to a scale that would impact their inventory, the bid/ask spread would adjust by a larger amount to handle that. That reasoning is very intuitive, assuming the market maker is risk neutral.

On a tick frequency, could we get a signal to noise ratio based upon larger-than-normal moves, using this logic? I’ll look to find out. If we have:
r_{i} = ln(frac{x_{i}}{x_{i-1}}),
then we could derive:
SNR = frac{r_{i}}{sigma_{r}},
which results in:
SNR = left{begin{array}{2}<br />
signal & mbox{ if $frac{r_{i}}{sigma_{r}} g 1$};\<br />
noise & mbox{if $frac{r_{i}}{sigma_{r}} leq 1$}.end{array} right.

The question then becomes if a ratio of 1 is the correct breakpoint, and whether or not the signal and noise measures should be aggregated over a set time bin. There are still a number of questions that relate to this, but it is a framework for starting.

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